World War Within Twenty Years (2003-2023) PETER CORIN – 24/04/03
It is a common assumption by people alive today, that world war cannot happen again, certainly not within our lifetimes. Tom Clancy is one of my favorite authors for the simple reason that he can
He, unlike me, writes in fiction. So I will now attempt to provide a convincing worst-case scenario of what may happen in the next twenty years, or less.
2003 – 2010
Syria could be defeated by the end of 2003. Victory will surely result in more Middle Eastern countries being targeted. The possible list is almost endless, Iran, Jordan etc. This will continue until all countries in the Middle East either support the U.S or are controlled by the U.S.
During all this time, North Korea will be a talking point. The U.S will try and play it down, as they are now, but gradually, the real threat that this communist state poses will be realized.
Many people, including myself, have wondered why the U.S is focusing so much on Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction (that they deny having) when North Korea openly admit that they have nuclear
2011 – 2023
This next phase could occur earlier, but often international relations spread widely over time. So wide in fact that we may not notice what’s happening. Like the frog, slowly being boiled as the heat rises. Also there is an added incentive for North Korea to bide their time, as constantly, they will be building their military strength and
When the situation explodes, it will not be from the U.S directly. It has been estimated that a three-stage rocket capable of carrying nuclear warheads to the continental U.S will not be developed in Korea till 2015. However, rockets to attack South Korea and Japan have been developed. It is from Japan that the war will begin.
It’s ironic that for America, WWII began when Japan attacked Pearl Harbor and WWIII will begin for America when North Korea attacks Japan, Americas biggest ally in Asia.
When thousands of Japanese citizens lie dead on the streets of their major cities, the U.S and the rest of the world will be forced to react. It is extremely interesting to think about who will be on which side.
Obviously Japan will join the U.S. However the rest of Asia is less certain. I think it unlikely the semi-communist China will support an attack on communist North Korea. So they may abstain, or may even join North Korea. If China joined North Korea (and the fringe countries such as Singapore, Hong Kong and Taiwan would follow) then the outcome of WWIII would be far from certain. However I think this unlikely.
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World War Within Twenty Years (2003-2023)
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